UofL's Same-Four Plus/Minus stats through the Jan 24th game vs Pittsburgh. Adel and Mitchell are having a huge positive impact, while VJ King seems to be hurting the team. The table above is a little tough for first-timers to understand, so let me explain what it's showing. As an example, let's look at the data for Quentin Snider. He has played 979 possessions so far this year. If you take all of the 4-man combinations with which he has played, and add up all the possessions they have played with someone else in Snider's place, you get 470 possessions. During the 979 possessions Snider has played, UofL has scored 0.12 fewer points per possession than the 470 where he has been replaced (but other players have stayed the same). When comparing points allowed per possession, UofL has allowed .03 fewer with Snider in than when he has been replaced. Add those impacts together, and UofL has been .09 points per possession worse when Snider has played than when he has been replaced. If you go through all of the possessions in each group and account for the quality of opponent (as measured by KenPom.com), we add .02 points per possession to the raw +/- difference, because the possessions he has played have been against a little stronger opponents...so we shouldn't penalize him as much. This yields a Same-Four Plus/Minus of -.07 points per possession, meaning the data says UofL is worse with Snider than with the players UofL has used to replace him.
Hoops Insight: Louisville Cardinals Newsletter #1
Hoops Insight: Louisville Cardinals…
Hoops Insight: Louisville Cardinals Newsletter #1
UofL's Same-Four Plus/Minus stats through the Jan 24th game vs Pittsburgh. Adel and Mitchell are having a huge positive impact, while VJ King seems to be hurting the team. The table above is a little tough for first-timers to understand, so let me explain what it's showing. As an example, let's look at the data for Quentin Snider. He has played 979 possessions so far this year. If you take all of the 4-man combinations with which he has played, and add up all the possessions they have played with someone else in Snider's place, you get 470 possessions. During the 979 possessions Snider has played, UofL has scored 0.12 fewer points per possession than the 470 where he has been replaced (but other players have stayed the same). When comparing points allowed per possession, UofL has allowed .03 fewer with Snider in than when he has been replaced. Add those impacts together, and UofL has been .09 points per possession worse when Snider has played than when he has been replaced. If you go through all of the possessions in each group and account for the quality of opponent (as measured by KenPom.com), we add .02 points per possession to the raw +/- difference, because the possessions he has played have been against a little stronger opponents...so we shouldn't penalize him as much. This yields a Same-Four Plus/Minus of -.07 points per possession, meaning the data says UofL is worse with Snider than with the players UofL has used to replace him.